Event Impact™
Intelligence EnginePrediction markets tell you what the crowd expects. InvestorLens tells you who is positioned if it happens.
Source: Prediction Market Signal via Polymarket · Institutional data via SEC 13F · Congressional data via STOCK Act · Educational research only — not investment advice.
Active Events
24
prediction markets tracked
Total Market Volume
$10.3M
aggregate trading activity
High-Conviction Events
19
≥70% or ≤30% probability
Affected Asset Classes
3
stocks, ETFs, sectors mapped
How Event Impact™ Works
① Prediction Market Signal
We source live probability data from public prediction markets — what the crowd currently expects to happen.
② Asset Exposure Mapping
Every event is mapped to affected sectors, ETFs, and stocks based on historical market reaction playbooks.
③ Institutional Intelligence
We cross-reference affected assets against 13F holdings, insider Form 4 filings, and STOCK Act disclosures to show who is already positioned.
Active Events
Sorted by trading volume · Updates every 5 minutes
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on July 3?
0%Top Affected
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner
33%Top Affected
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5
70%Top Affected
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 3?
0%Top Affected
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
98%Top Affected
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
4%Top Affected
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
50%Top Affected
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on July 3?
1%Top Affected
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
27%Top Affected
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
19%Top Affected
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 3?
98%Top Affected
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
9%Top Affected
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
1%Top Affected
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?
21%Top Affected
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
3%Top Affected
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in July?
20%Top Affected
Will Steven Kwan win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?
2%Top Affected
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
39%Top Affected
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
86%Top Affected
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%Top Affected
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
13%Top Affected
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?
70%Top Affected
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?
44%Top Affected
Will Leavitt say "Pool" during the next White House Press Briefing?
56%Top Affected